After what we have been through since Trump got elected, can he actually win again? Can people be that stupid to vote in a mentally unstable demagogue for a second term??
The majority of Americans didn’t want Trump in 2016. They majority don’t want him in 2020. That doesn’t mean he wont win again though. If Trump wins again, it will be another ELECTORAL win. The sad truth is that there is a possibility of him winning a second term.
Trump has been losing Republican suburban voters in droves. It’s been a trend we have been seeing since the midterms. The recent election in NC District 9 resulted in the Republican candidate winning by a small margin. This is a district that has been strongly Republican since 1963! It’s not anymore and that is due to Trump losing suburban voters. Texas is now purple. Never in a million years would I have thought that a strong red, Republican state like Texas would be competitive for Democrats. Beto O’Rourke lost by a slim margin in the 2018 midterms. Trump is losing suburban voters all over the place.
Despite Trump losing the suburbs, he can still achieve another ELECTORAL win though. Whether Trump wins or loses in 2020, it will be due to one factor and one factor only! That factor is DEMOCRAT TURNOUT. No other factor matters. Trump will have the turnout minus many suburban voters. His cultists will be out in force voting for their Messiah again. As we get closer to the election, he will start his racist rhetoric again which will rile up the racists in his base. They will be out in force. That is who he appeals to and it’s a large part of his base. Some may argue that there aren’t enough racists to give him a win due to him losing the suburban vote. If Democrat turnout is low, he will have enough of them to give him a win. If Democrats are as enthusiastic as Republicans, it will result in Trump losing.
Trump will win or lose based on DEMOCRAT TURNOUT . It’s that simple. Trump is losing the suburban vote but that is not enough to ensure a win for the Democrat candidate. Republican turnout will be high. Democrat turnout in 2020 will make the difference!